Expected Move
The ±1σ price ranges that the options market is currently pricing in — across the major US tickers, refreshed every week.
This week's Expected Move
The full live table — every supported ticker with its ±1σ range and proximity highlighting — is delivered directly on your TradingView chart when you have the indicator active. Subscribers see the levels overlaid on every chart they open.
What is Expected Move?
Expected Move is a probabilistic estimate of how much a stock or ETF is likely to move within a given period, derived from current options implied volatility (IV). The ±1σ range represents approximately a 68% probability cone — under normal-distribution assumptions, price stays within the band roughly two-thirds of the time over the specified horizon.
Real markets, of course, don't follow normal distributions perfectly. Tail events, earnings gaps, and regime shifts regularly push price beyond ±1σ. Treat the range as a reference for sizing risk, not a forecast.
Weekly vs Daily
±1σ range for the upcoming week
Computed from Friday closing IV and published Friday afternoon (US Eastern Time). Covers Monday through Friday of the next trading week. Used by swing traders for position sizing and stop placement.
±1σ range for the next session
Computed from Thursday closing IV and published Thursday post-market. The tighter band 0DTE and weekly options traders use to anchor day-trade plans.
What's covered
The major US-listed tickers across these categories:
Learn more
New to Expected Move? Read our guide "7 Common Mistakes When Reading Expected Move →" for the most common interpretation pitfalls and how to avoid them.
Or dive into our full Calculation Methodology to understand exactly how we compute these levels.